July 19, 2026
In 2011, every major forecaster drew the same cloud curve — and they were right. Almost none of them charted the line underneath: how much of it organizations actually absorbed. That gap is the whole story, and we're drawing the same picture now for AI.
July 18, 2026
"When a technology's promised value runs late, organizations reach for the tangible instead of the operating model. A pattern worth watching in AI."
July 18, 2026
"Gartner just named "AI sprawl" a top 2026 priority. We've seen this fever before — and the treatment on offer is the one that failed last time."
July 15, 2026
"If AI killed consulting, why did the AI companies just hire the consultants? Because adoption was never a software problem — and the receipts go back to 1998."
July 11, 2026
A prediction describes a future no one is accountable for. A record documents what happened — and can be checked. Gartner's five 2026 predictions, against nineteen years of receipts.
July 8, 2026
"Before you build the digital twin, how do you know you're twinning the right organization?"
July 7, 2026
Technology is not going away — and that includes AI. It will be waiting for you. Which means no one is falling behind.
July 7, 2026
Two photos of Mount St. Helens — one before the eruption, one after. Which one is wrong?
What Does Cloud Repatriation and AI Repatriation Have in Common, and How Are They Different?
August 16, 2026
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That is not an argument against automation. It is an argument for knowing what you are automating before you automate it — the same argument as everything else in previous technology eras, arriving through a different door.