The COVID Success Spike: The Hansen Fit Score Link

Posted on January 31, 2026

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By Jon W. Hansen | Procurement Insights


1. Why Did COVID Spike Improve Delivery?

The temporary improvement in implementation success during 2020-2021 wasn’t because organizations suddenly got better at transformation. It was crisis-induced behavioral alignment — the exact condition the Hansen Method has been manufacturing systematically for 27 years.

What COVID did accidentally:

Pre-COVID RealityCOVID Reality
Stakeholders had competing prioritiesEveryone had ONE priority: survival
Executive sponsorship was intermittentC-Suite was engaged daily
Change resistance was tolerated“We don’t have time for resistance”
18-month implementation timelines“We need this working in 6 weeks”
Siloed decision-makingCross-functional war rooms
“Let’s study this more”“Just make it work”

The Hansen Method parallel:

COVID temporarily created the Phase 0 conditions Hansen has been advocating for decades:

  • Stakeholder alignment (everyone focused on same goal)
  • Executive commitment (no choice but to be involved)
  • Urgency-driven governance (decisions made in days, not quarters)
  • Reduced organizational resistance (survival mode overrides politics)

The problem: Once the crisis passed, organizations reverted to pre-COVID behaviors — and the failure rate returned to 50-70%+ by 2024. COVID proved that when behavioral alignment exists, technology implementations succeed. But organizations couldn’t sustain it without a systematic methodology.

The insight from the archives: You don’t need a global pandemic to create readiness. You need Phase 0 assessment, stakeholder mapping, and governance frameworks BEFORE technology selection. COVID proved the thesis; Hansen Method operationalizes it.


2. Why Are the Procurement Insights Archives So Important Here?

The PI archives (2007-2025) are the only continuous, independent documentation of:

A. The Pattern Recognition No One Else Published

What PI DocumentedWhenWhat Gartner Said
Ariba integration challenges predicted2007-2009“Leader” status maintained
SAP acquisition would create delivery issues2012“Strategic move”
Cloud hype ≠ implementation success2015-2018Hype Cycle continues
Digital transformation failure pattern2019-2022More predictions
AI/Agentic readiness gap2024-2025“Peak of Inflated Expectations”

B. The Exposed, Explainable, Repeatable Evidence Base

Unlike analyst firms who publish conclusions without showing methodology:

  • PI archives show the reasoning behind predictions
  • PI archives document what actually happened vs. what was predicted
  • PI archives contain 18 years of receipts — the strand commonality data that validates the Hansen Fit Score

C. The Independence Factor

Analyst FirmsProcurement Insights
Vendor-fundedFree of Vendor sponsorship
Predictions without accountabilityDocumented predictions with follow-up
Technology-first frameworksReadiness-first methodology
Revenue tied to vendor relationshipsRevenue tied to practitioner success

D. The RAM 2025 Foundation

The multimodel validation approach works because Hansen has:

  • 18 years of documented patterns to validate against
  • Case studies with outcomes (DND 97.3%, Virginia eVA, etc.)
  • Exposed methodology that AI models can reference and verify
  • Strand commonality data that reveals interconnections across seemingly unrelated events

The Bottom Line

COVID Answer: Crisis created accidental behavioral alignment — proving that when organizations are ready, technology works. Hansen Method creates that readiness systematically, without requiring a pandemic.

Archives Answer: The PI archives are the evidence base that makes the Hansen Fit Score defensible. When Hansen says “85-95% accuracy,” he can point to 18 years of documented predictions and outcomes. Gartner can’t — their predictions aren’t tracked against results, and their methodology isn’t exposed.

This is why the graph matters: It’s not opinion vs. opinion. It’s documented outcomes (PI archives) vs. documented failure rates (industry reports + Gartner’s own predictions). The 60-point gap isn’t theoretical — it’s 16 years of evidence.


Access the Full Methodology

We are the only practitioner performance analyst and vendor reconciliation service to identify the COVID implementation success spike and explain what it means.

Now you can access the same methodology.

ProductPriceWhat You Get
Single Vendor Report$1,750Full Hansen Fit Score™ assessment, Capability Matrix™, 5-model consensus analysis
Annual Subscription$3,00024+ reports ($125 each), priority requests, full methodology access

The ROI: If a failed implementation costs $3M and the failure rate is 65%, your risk exposure is $1.95M. A single report costs 0.09% of that risk. If it provides any meaningful insight, the ROI exceeds 1,000x.

These analyses are 100% vendor-neutral and therefore do not involve vendor interviews or demos. They are based solely on the RAM 2025™ multimodel assessment, evaluating multiple archives including the proprietary Procurement Insights Archives (2007-2025).

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Source: RAM 2025™ Multimodel Analysis | Hansen Models © 2026

Exposed. Explainable. Repeatable.

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